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Canada

Mississauga—Malton


MP elect: Iqwinder Gaheer (LPC)

Latest projection: May 11, 2025
LPC likely

Candidates | Mississauga—Malton


Liberal Iqwinder Gaheer*
Conservative Jaspreet Kaur Sandhu
NDP Inderjeetsingh Ailsinghani
PPC Nathan Quinlan

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Mississauga—Malton 53% ± 5% LPC 42% ± 5% CPC 3% ± 2% NDP LPC 2025 53.0% 338Canada vote projection | May 11, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Mississauga—Malton 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 11, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Mississauga—Malton

LPC 53% ± 5% CPC 42% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Mississauga—Malton 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC May 11, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 43% LPC 36% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 42% LPC 37% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 42% LPC 38% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 41% CPC 40% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 44% CPC 38% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 48% CPC 36% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 51% CPC 35% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 52% CPC 34% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 51% CPC 35% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 53% CPC 34% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 55% CPC 32% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 56% CPC 32% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 56% CPC 32% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 56% CPC 32% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 56% CPC 32% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 56% CPC 32% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 58% CPC 32% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 58% CPC 32% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 58% CPC 32% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 59% CPC 31% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 59% CPC 31% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 59% CPC 31% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 59% CPC 32% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 60% CPC 32% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 61% CPC 32% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 60% CPC 32% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 60% CPC 32% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 61% CPC 32% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 60% CPC 32% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 60% CPC 33% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 60% CPC 33% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 60% CPC 32% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 61% CPC 32% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 60% CPC 32% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 61% CPC 32% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 61% CPC 32% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 61% CPC 32% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 62% CPC 32% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 62% CPC 32% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 62% CPC 33% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 61% CPC 33% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 59% CPC 35% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 59% CPC 35% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 60% CPC 34% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 61% CPC 33% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 61% CPC 34% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 60% CPC 34% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 60% CPC 34% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 60% CPC 34% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 60% CPC 34% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 61% CPC 34% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 53% CPC 42% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 53% CPC 42% 2025-05-11 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Mississauga—Malton

LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 11, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 75% LPC 25% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 71% LPC 29% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 56% CPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 82% CPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Mississauga—Malton



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 53% ± 5% 57.0% 52.7% 53.0% CPC 42% ± 5% 26.4% 30.8% 42.2% NDP 3% ± 2% 12.5% 13.7% 2.7% PPC 2% ± 2% 0.8% 0.3% 2.2% GPC 0% ± 0% 2.7% 1.9% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.
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